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基于滑动时步和预警阈值的双参数地音预警模型研究

Two Parameters Underground Sound Early Warning Model Based on Sliding Steps and Warning Thresholds

  • 摘要: 基于地音预警原理,选取地音活动量偏差值DEV作为地音预警的指标,根据预警时效性和实用性制定了预警规则,提出使用不同滑动时步n和预警阈值DEV0组合优化预警模型的思想。利用多因素无重复试验方差分析对影响地音报准率和误报率的nDEV0双参数进行分析,得出nDEV0对预警效果均具有显著影响,且DEV0是主要影响因素。通过构建效用加权双目标函数,求得预警模型的最优解组合为滑动时步取8步,预警阈值取70%,此时对应地音的报准率67%,漏准率33%,误报率29%。

     

    Abstract: Based on underground sound early warning principle,and then deviation value of terrestrial sound activity DEV was selected as underground sound early warning index,warning principle was constituted according timeliness and practicability of early warning,the idea that combination optimization early warning model with different sliding step n and warning thresholds DEV0 was put forward.Underground sound precision and false alarm rate,and DEV0 two parameters were analyzed by multiple factors and unrepeated trials variance analysis,the parameters n and DEV0 play an important role on warning results,the DEV0 was the main influence factors.According effectiveness weighing double aims function,the optimal solution combination of early warning was derived as sliding steps was 8 and warning thresholds was 70%,the corresponding underground sound precision was 67%,missing rate was 33% and false rate was 29%.

     

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