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大面积采空区稳定性与地压显现特征研究

Research on the stability and ground pressure manifestation characteristics of large-scale goaf

  • 摘要: 地下金属矿产资源经过长期开采已形成范围广、数量多的采空区,这对作业人员与设备安全构成了更大挑战,大面积采空区稳定性问题已成为制约这类矿山资源安全高效开发的关键瓶颈之一。以利用空场法开采形成典型大面积采空区的某地下钨矿为工程背景,分析大面积采空区顶板、矿柱的稳定性与分布特征,研究影响采空区稳定性的因素及其程度,建立大面积采空区危险失稳区域判识方法,从微震角度揭示大面积采空区地压显现的时空分布特征,并验证判识方法的准确性与可靠性,提出针对性的采空区治理措施,通过b值、最大微震震级预测分析地压长期演化特征。研究表明:超过50%的顶板区域处于较不安全或不安全状态,而矿柱整体安全状态相对良好,顶板失稳风险显著高于矿柱;水力半径与顶板面积、顶板跨度、顶板周长均呈现正相关,矿柱安全系数与矿柱宽高比、矿柱面积及矿柱承载岩柱面积均呈正相关,而与矿柱埋深呈负相关,顶板跨度、矿柱埋深分别是影响采空区顶板、矿柱稳定性的首要控制因素;大部分非I级矿柱位于危险失稳区域内,约50%的危险失稳区域处于条带区域当中,条带区域可能是采空区失稳风险概率较高的区域;微震监测数据显示,沿矿体走向呈“背斜型”展布的核部条带区域为矿震活动最密集区,微震活动性与采空区大规模的顶板垮塌事件具有显著的时序对应关系;小震数量较少、大震数量较多,地压活动强度大;Gumbel I型极值分布原理预测本地微震震级极值发生概率效果良好,未来本地微震震级多处于-4.75~-2.75范围内。研究成果为大面积采空区稳定性控制与灾害预警提供了关键的理论依据与技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: Long-term extraction of underground metal mineral resources has resulted in the formation of numerous and extensive goafs. This poses greater challenges to the safety of personnel and equipment, and the stability of large-scale goafs has become one of the critical bottlenecks restricting the safe and efficient exploitation of such mineral resources. Taking an underground tungsten mine with typical large-scale goafs formed by open stope method mining as the engineering background, this study analyzes the stability and distribution characteristics of the roof and pillars in the large-scale goaf. It investigates the factors influencing goaf stability and their respective degrees of impact, establishes a method for identifying hazardous instability zones in large-scale goafs. From the perspective of microseismicity, the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of ground pressure manifestations in large-scale goafs are revealed, the accuracy and reliability of the identification method are verified, targeted goaf treatment measures are proposed, and the long-term evolution characteristics of ground pressure are predicted and analyzed using the b-value and maximum microseismic magnitude. The results indicate that over 50% of the roof area is in a relatively unsafe or unsafe state, while the overall safety condition of the pillars is relatively good, with the risk of roof instability being significantly higher than that of the pillars. The hydraulic radius shows positive correlations with roof area, roof span, and roof perimeter. The safety factor of pillars exhibits positive correlations with pillar width-to-height ratio, pillar area, and area of the rock mass supported by pillar, but negative correlations with pillar burial depth. Roof span and pillar burial depth are the primary controlling factors affecting the stability of the goaf roof and pillars, respectively. Most non-Class I pillars are located within the hazardous instability zones, and approximately 50% of these hazardous instability zones are situated within the strip areas, suggesting that strip areas may be zones with a higher probability of goaf instability risk. Microseismic monitoring data show that the core strip area distributed in an "anticline-type" pattern along the orebody strike is the most densely active zone of mining-induced seismicity, and there is a significant temporal correlation between microseismic activity and large-scale roof collapse events in the goaf. The number of small seismic events is relatively low, while the number of large seismic events is relatively high, indicating a high intensity of ground pressure activity. The Gumbel Type I extreme value distribution principle proves effective in predicting the probability of extreme local microseismic magnitudes, with future local microseismic magnitudes mostly expected to fall within the range of -4.75 to -2.75. The research findings provide key theoretical basis and technical support for the stability control and disaster early warning of large-scale goafs.

     

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