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滇中引水工程隧洞不良地质“1-3-1”超前预报预警技术与实践

A “1-3-1” advanced forecasting and early warning technology for adverse geology in tunnels: Application in the Central Yunnan Water Diversion Project

  • 摘要: 针对深埋长距离隧洞突水突泥灾害防控难题, 本文以滇中引水工程为依托, 提出了“1-3-1”隧洞不良地质综合预报−预警−处置技术体系。相较于传统预报方法“预报−提示−处置”的模式, 该方法坚持以“工程安全”为核心目标, 通过“地质−预报”结合、“预报−预警”结合和“预报−处置”结合三大协同机制, 形成地质分析先行, 地震波法等长距离超前预报、电磁法等中短距离预报、跨孔CT精细预报的综合探测方法; 以地质分析、物探、钻探结果为基础, 采用主客观结合的风险评价方法, 建立A、B、C三级风险预警机制, 并根据预报预警结果进行分级处置, 实现不良地质的精细化探测和灾害风险的动态管控。最终, 将该方法应用于滇中引水工程, 成功预报预警了56次突水突泥灾害。其中, 选取香炉山2号施工隧洞作为应用案例, 成功预测12+226~12+240段落为A级高风险区。利用地震波法、激发极化法、超前钻探法和跨孔CT法综合确定高风险区的位置, 并通过超前钻探、注浆孔揭露及后续开挖验证了预报结果的可靠性。按照施工处置方案完成超前注浆加固与管棚支护后, 隧洞安全穿越了该高风险区。研究结果表明, 该技术体系可有效提升复杂地质条件下隧洞施工灾害防控能力, 可为深埋长隧洞安全建造提供方法指导与工程参考。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at addressing the challenge of preventing and controlling water and mud inrush disasters in deep-buried, long-distance tunnels, this paper, based on the Central Yunnan Water Diversion Project, proposes a “1-3-1” comprehensive technical system for forecasting, warning, and disposing adverse geological conditions in tunnels. Compared to the traditional “forecast-alert-disposal” model, this method adheres to the core objective of “engineering safety.” Through three synergistic mechanisms, namely “geology combined with forecasting,” “forecasting combined with warning,” and “forecasting combined with disposal”, it forms an integrated detection approach which prioritizes geological analysis and incorporates long-range advanced forecasting (e.g., seismic wave methods), medium-to-short-range forecasting (e.g., electromagnetic methods), and fine-scale forecasting via cross-hole CT. Building upon geological analysis, geophysical prospecting, and drilling results, the system employs a risk evaluation method combining subjective and objective factors to establish a three-tier (Class A, B, C) risk warning mechanism. Corresponding disposal measures are then implemented based on the forecasting and warning results, achieving refined detection of adverse geology and dynamic management of disaster risks. Ultimately, this method was applied to the Central Yunnan Water Diversion Project, successfully forecasting and providing warnings for 56 water and mud inrush incidents. The Xianglushan No. 2 Construction Tunnel was selected as an application case, where a Class A high-risk zone at chainage 12+226–12+240 was successfully identified. Multiple forecasting methods, including the seismic wave method, induced polarization method, advanced drilling, and cross-hole CT, were utilized to locate the high-risk zone. Subsequent advanced drilling, water inflow encountered in grouting boreholes, and excavation verified the reliability of the forecast. After the completion of advanced grouting reinforcement and pipe-roof support in accordance with the construction disposal plan, the tunnel safely traversed the high-risk zone. The research results demonstrate that this technical system can effectively enhance disaster prevention and control capabilities during the construction of tunnels under complex geological conditions, providing methodological guidance and engineering references for the safe construction of deep-buried, long-distance tunnels.

     

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