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冲击地压定量预测的研究

The quantitative prediction of rock burst

  • 摘要: 文章对冲击地压的定量预测即震级和地点的预测方法进行了研究和探讨。通过对华丰矿及大安山矿房山采区的冲击地压资料统计分析发现,冲击地压的震级和发生次数的对数具有线性关系,并可利用该关系对未来冲击地压的趋势和最大震级作出预测。对于冲击地压地点预测,提出采用材料分叉分析方法,通过对煤岩体分叉区域的演化规律研究,计算出冲击发生位置。

     

    Abstract: The quantitative prediction of rock burst including induced earthquake grade and its location is discussed.Through analyzing the statistical rock burst materials taken place in Huafeng coal mine and Fangshan panel of Daanshan colliery,the burst induced earthquake grade has a linear relationship with logarithm of the burst times.Using the equation the burst induced maximum earthquake grade and the reliability of rock burst can be predicted.Applying material branching analytical method the variation of coal and rock branching areas is studied and the location which may occur rock burst is calculated.

     

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